31st Annual Backcountry Benefit - September 12th - Tickets Available Here!
Ad
The National Forest Service Logo
icon-add Observation
Forecasts
Logan Ogden Salt Lake Provo Uintas Skyline Moab Abajos Weather Archives How to read the forecast
Observations & Avalanches
Submit Observation NEW - Observations Explorer All Observations Avalanches Fatalities Place Names Map Archives
Education
Avalanche Awareness Develop Skills On-Snow Courses Resources and Tutorials
Events
Store
About
Contact Who we are Core Values Staff Board of Directors Past Forecasters Sponsors Annual Reports Sign In
Blog
icon-add Observation
Donate / Join

Forecast for the Abajos Area Mountains

Eric Trenbeath
Issued by Eric Trenbeath on
Sunday morning, February 4, 2024
Recent snowfall on top of a weak, underlying snowpack has created dangerous avalanche conditions. Human triggered avalanches are likely on steep, northerly aspects. Look for increasing danger midweek when the next round of snowfall begins.
Low
Moderate
Considerable
High
Extreme
Learn how to read the forecast here
Weather and Snow
The recent storm system brought a foot of new snow at 1.5" of Snow Water Equivalent (SWE) to Camp Jackson. Buckboard SNOTEL in lower North Creek is reporting 8" at 1.0" SWE. This did not trigger a natural avalanche cycle, but it has increased the likelihood for human triggered avalanches, particularly on steep, northerly aspects. In my travels up North Creek on Saturday, I found extremely weak snow with reactive stability tests at lower elevations. I did not venture up high due to dangerous conditions. Expect the danger to increase again mid-week as the next Atmospheric River event brings more snow to the mountains. I'll update this forecast with more information as things develop.
NWS forecast for the Abajo Mountains.
Snow totals and temps at Buckboard Flat (8924')
Snow totals and temps at Camp Jackson (8858')
General Announcements
This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur.
< Previous forecast
Next forecast >